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Republicans have had a public and personal lament over the previous few months: Given the headwinds Democrats are going through, the occasion could be additional forward in key Senate races had GOP major voters nominated completely different candidates. Those voters gave them Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania, Blake Masters in Arizona, and J.D. Vance in Ohio, all of whom beat out extra mainstream Republicans and all of whom are locked in tight struggles with Democratic opponents in swing states.
With the continued revelations he’s confronted, nevertheless, Herschel Walker is probably the prime instance of the GOP’s candidate-quality downside.
On Wednesday, Walker was attacked — once more — for being a hypocrite on the problem of abortion after a second lady claimed he’d pressured her into getting the process and drove her to acquire one in 1993. This allegation follows that of one other lady who advised The Daily Beast in early October that Walker helped pay for her abortion in 2009.
Both ladies stated they spoke out resulting from Walker’s inconsistency on the topic: He’s lengthy taken a hard-line stance on abortion, beforehand stating that he’d again an abortion ban with out exceptions, although he’s since softened that place. Walker has flatly denied each allegations, calling the latest declare “foolishness.”
The newest abortion allegation is along with a sequence of bombshells which have emerged about Walker all through the marketing campaign. While his soccer movie star and Donald Trump’s encouragement have been sufficient to win his major, he’s had a troubled historical past that included coverage gaffes and quite a lot of home violence allegations.
Georgia is a very dangerous place for Republicans to have a nasty candidate. As Republicans stare down a aggressive map to retake Senate management, their hopes of flipping seats relaxation on states like Nevada and Georgia, which have seen narrower polling margins. Walker’s myriad points are actually weighing him down in a spot that needs to be in any other case gettable for the occasion. While different Republicans, like Gov. Brian Kemp and lieutenant governor nominee Burt Jones, have constantly led within the polls, Walker has just lately trailed Democratic incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock.
It’s removed from clear that Walker’s baggage will probably be decisive within the race. According to FiveThirtyEight, Warnock noticed some slight good points in polling after the Daily Beast story got here out in early October, although polls stay tight. Partisanship runs deep in Georgia, and Republican voters confirmed with their Trump help lately that they’re prepared to miss private hypocrisy for a GOP win.
“Walker’s vague, sometimes incoherent answers on policy questions, his history of domestic violence — these are all things that make him a less-than-ideal candidate,” says Emory University political scientist Andra Gillespie. “If the Republican nominee had been the state agriculture commissioner, I suspect that the race would still be competitive, but he might have been performing in the vicinity of Brian Kemp.”
The revelations about Walker, briefly defined
Questions about whether or not Herschel Walker was ready for a marketing campaign started even earlier than he jumped into the Republican major, when Trump was encouraging him to affix the race.
“I know national Republican leaders who spoke to him and expressed skepticism about his ability to run a campaign and raise funds,” says Ralph Reed, a buddy of Walker’s and former chair of the Georgia Republican Party, who argues that these critiques “underestimated” Walker’s capability to win. As of late October, Walker and Warnock are inside the margin of error of each other in FiveThirtyEight’s polling aggregator.
Broadly, information stories about Walker have underscored hypocrisy on points like abortion in addition to his critiques of absentee fathers, elevating questions on his consistency and dedication to socially conservative insurance policies. Additionally, home violence and stalking allegations have pointed to issues about his character and previous therapy of romantic companions and relations.
Some of the problems which have emerged:
Domestic violence and stalking allegations: Walker has confronted home violence allegations from a number of ladies, together with two he was allegedly romantically concerned with. Grossman, his ex-wife, has accused him of threatening to kill her on two events, as soon as whereas he held a gun to her head and as soon as holding a razor to her throat. A decide had beforehand granted a protecting order to Grossman, noting that Walker posed “a clear and present danger of family violence.”
Walker has not denied these incidents however stated he doesn’t recall them, pointing to his struggles with psychological well being and dissociative identification dysfunction, which may embody reminiscence loss as a symptom. As PolitiFact notes, Walker has not been arrested or charged with a criminal offense.
Walker and Grossman have each spoken about these allegations previous to the marketing campaign in interviews with ABC and CNN in 2008. Walker has additionally written in regards to the challenges he’s confronted with dissociative identification dysfunction in a 2008 e book, which describes the potential for violent ideas. “He has owned up, apologized, gotten treatment and since dedicated his life to sharing his story to help others,” the marketing campaign stated in an announcement to PolitiFact about previous incidents of home violence.
Another lady that Walker was concerned with has additionally accused him of threatening to kill her, whereas a 3rd lady has accused him of stalking her, each allegations that his marketing campaign denied to PolitiFact. In his Twitter thread, Walker’s son Christian Walker additionally referenced threats of violence that he and his mom, Grossman, confronted, alleging that his father “threatened to kill us, and had us move over 6 times in 6 months running from [his] violence.”
On the Democratic aspect, Warnock has confronted allegations of home violence from his ex-wife, Ouleye Ndoye, as effectively. Previously, she accused him of operating over her foot throughout an argument, which he has denied. PolitiFact notes that medical professionals didn’t see accidents to Ndoye’s foot on the time.
Past actions on abortion: The Daily Beast story alleges that Walker coated the price of a former girlfriend’s abortion in 2009 once they have been courting, one thing that was not beforehand publicly identified. As proof, she offered a receipt for the process, a photograph of a examine signed by Walker, and a “get well” card that was despatched on the time. The identical lady additionally advised The New York Times that Walker pressured her to get a second abortion.
Walker had beforehand taken one of many hardest-line stances on abortion of any Republican candidate, expressing his help for a ban that doesn’t embody exceptions for rape, incest, or the lifetime of the mom. “I just can’t with the hypocrisy anymore,” the girl, who requested anonymity to guard her privateness, advised the Daily Beast. Walker later softened his place on the problem, noting that he would help exceptions included in Georgia’s six-week abortion ban.
A second nameless lady has additionally stated that Walker pressured her to get an abortion and drove her to the clinic when she turned pregnant within the Nineteen Nineties. This second allegation was introduced through a digital press convention led by legal professional Gloria Allred in late October.
“We don’t need people in the US Senate who profess one thing and do another,” the girl stated.
Walker has flatly denied each stories.
Comments on absentee fathers: In the previous, Walker has criticized absentee fathers, although a number of information stories have now advised that he has not less than one youngster he doesn’t see. In addition to his grownup son, Christian, Walker has three kids he didn’t acknowledge publicly earlier than they have been reported on, together with not less than one he appeared to play little function in elevating, according to the Daily Beast. “I support them all and love them all. I’ve never denied my children,” Walker has beforehand stated. Another Daily Beast report described how Walker had lied to his marketing campaign in regards to the existence of his kids, suggesting that a few of his personal staffers considered him as a legal responsibility.
Misrepresentation of previous achievements: Walker has confronted questions over exaggerations about his achievements and file, together with about his commencement from the University of Georgia, his experience in legislation enforcement, the scale of his meals enterprise, and the charitable donations made by his firm. Walker left the University of Georgia in his junior yr as a way to play soccer professionally. He additionally acknowledged that he had labored in legislation enforcement, when there’s not a transparent file of that. In a debate with Warnock, Walker took out a pretend honorary deputy badge, which he has been showcasing on the marketing campaign path as effectively.
Past claims he’s made in regards to the measurement of his enterprise and the amount of cash it was donating to charities even have little proof backing them up.
Policy gaffes: There are a number of feedback Walker has made which have spurred questions on his coverage expertise. He beforehand argued that “clean air” from the US floated to China and defeated the aim of investments to deal with such air pollution, an announcement that’s counter to scientific proof. Additionally, he advised that inflation was a ladies’s problem as a result of “they’ve got to buy groceries,” an announcement that prompted pushback for its sexist framing.
Voter issues about Walker have been evident in polling: An October Quinnipiac survey discovered that fifty p.c of Georgia respondents stated that they had a positive opinion of Warnock, whereas simply 39 p.c felt the identical about Walker.
The influence they may have in Georgia
Walker’s points might price Republicans the Senate seat in Georgia, although there are nonetheless some main components working in his favor.
For one, there are nationwide developments that bode effectively for all Republican candidates. The occasion in energy sometimes faces a backlash within the midterms that might be additional exacerbated by the president’s unpopularity.
In an October Civiqs ballot, 37 p.c of Georgia respondents stated they permitted of the job President Joe Biden was doing, in comparison with roughly 40 p.c who achieve this nationwide, according to a FiveThirtyEight survey aggregator. A majority of Georgia’s possible voters additionally rated price of dwelling, jobs, and the economic system as crucial points within the upcoming election in a Monmouth ballot, with many conservatives blaming Biden and Democrats for driving costs up.
“People are going to vote with their pocketbooks and wallets, not so much on the emotional side of things. They are being affected by inflation, gas prices, and now you have interest rates going up,” says Marci McCarthy, the chair of the DeKalb County Republicans.
Some voters may additionally be prepared to miss Walker’s flaws as a result of they’re curious about seeing a Republican Senate majority that can examine a Democratic administration. Because it is without doubt one of the few seats that’s thought-about a real swing state, the Georgia Senate race might decide which occasion secures a majority. A September CBS News ballot highlighted this dynamic: 72 p.c of Walker voters stated they have been backing him as a way to oppose Biden, and 86 p.c stated they have been doing so to assist Republicans achieve management of the Senate.
Walker’s movie star standing as a soccer participant within the state may additionally assist insulate him with sure voters. Walker gained the Heisman Trophy whereas he was a operating again on the University of Georgia, the place he helped the college safe a nationwide championship.
“Not only Georgia, but Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee, we really do love our football,” says Camilla Moore, the chair of the Georgia Black Republican Council, who famous that individuals will “always view Herschel as that champion with the Georgia Bulldogs.”
Beyond nationwide developments, the state’s Republican lean might additionally profit Walker. Although demographic adjustments in Georgia, together with an inflow of Black, Latino, and Asian American voters — together with aggressive turnout efforts led by gubernatorial nominee Stacey Abrams — have helped make the voters extra pleasant to Democrats, specialists say Republicans maintain a slender edge. If Republicans are capable of mobilize their voters in greater numbers than the 2020 turnout, that might contribute to pushing Walker excessive.
“I think the state is still a little more Republican than Democrat. In that respect, Warnock is swimming against the tide,” says Charles Bullock, a political scientist on the University of Georgia.
The actual query will probably be whether or not average Republicans and unbiased voters are prepared to miss the numerous issues which have been raised with Walker’s candidacy. Moderate, college-educated white ladies, particularly, are a contingent that the allegations of home violence might flip away, specialists inform Vox. Given how a lot help Kemp has appeared to choose up, together with with moderates, Walker faces the problem of making certain that these voters don’t cut up their ticket and vote for Warnock or select the libertarian candidate within the race.
“I think in this race, it’s going to be down for Herschel to the suburban white, college-educated voters, especially women. If those voters, who are now voting for Kemp in big numbers, break for Herschel, he’ll win,” stated Reed.
Update, October 26, 5:45 pm ET: This story was initially revealed on October 4 and has been up to date, together with most just lately to incorporate a brand new allegation raised towards Walker.
