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Like Gates, Leslie doesn’t dismiss doomer situations outright. “Bad actors can take advantage of these technologies and cause catastrophic harms,” he says. “You don’t need to buy into superintelligence, apocalyptic robots or AGI speculation to understand that.”
“But I agree that our immediate concerns should be in addressing the existing risks that derive from the rapid commercialization of generative AI,” says Leslie. “It serves a positive purpose to sort of zoom our lens in and say, ‘Okay, well, what are the immediate concerns?’”
In his put up, Gates notes that AI is already a risk to many elementary areas of society, from elections to education to employment. Of course, such issues aren’t information. What Gates desires to inform us is that though these threats are severe, we’ve acquired this: “The best reason to believe that we can manage the risks is that we have done it before.”
In the Nineteen Seventies and 80s, calculators modified how college students realized math, permitting them to concentrate on what Gates calls the “thinking skills behind arithmetic” relatively than the fundamental arithmetic itself. He now sees apps like ChatGPT doing the identical with different topics.
In the Eighties and 90s, phrase processing and spreadsheet functions modified workplace work—adjustments that have been pushed by Gates’s personal firm, Microsoft.
Again, Gates seems again at how folks tailored and claims that we are able to do it once more. “Word processing applications didn’t do away with office work, but they changed it forever,” he writes. “The shift caused by AI will be a bumpy transition, but there is every reason to think we can reduce the disruption to people’s lives and livelihoods.”
Similarly, with misinformation: we realized how you can cope with spam, we are able to do the identical for deepfakes. “Eventually, most people learned to look twice at those emails,” Gates writes. “As the scams got more sophisticated, so did many of their targets. We’ll need to build the same muscle for deepfakes.”
Gates urges quick however cautious motion to handle all of the harms on his record. The drawback is that he doesn’t supply something new. Many of his solutions are drained; some are facile.