Arizona governor election outcomes 2022: Katie Hobbs defeats Kari Lake

Republican Kari Lake, a far-right former TV information anchor who quickly constructed a nationwide profile as one of the vital vocal proponents of President Donald Trump’s 2020 election lies, gained’t be Arizona’s subsequent governor. But even when she admits that truth — an enormous if, given her current assaults on her state’s electoral course of and that she’s repeatedly refused to say that she’s going to concede the race if she loses — it’s not more likely to be the final we’ll see of her.

The Arizona governor’s race has made Lake a GOP star. She’s been outspoken about her excessive views on election safety, abortion, and immigration. She ran an unconventional marketing campaign, eschewing conventional advert buys for viral marketing campaign movies, filled with controversial statements that grabbed nationwide headlines, together with feedback that appeared to make mild of the violent assault on House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s husband. All of that gained her Trump’s admiration (and endorsement) and reward from different distinguished Republicans. She’s even been floated as a potential working mate for Trump in 2024.

The race attracted large outdoors spending and appeared shut till the tip, with polls exhibiting Lake, and her Democratic opponent, present Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs, in a lifeless warmth earlier than Election Day. It took days for the outcomes to be known as, and Hobbs’s victory got here right down to the margins she was capable of drive up in large city facilities in Pima and Maricopa counties.

It’s an enormous loss for Republicans on this key battleground the place President Joe Biden gained by a little bit over 10,000 votes in 2020, and one other blow to Trump’s popularity as a kingmaker after his handpicked candidates had a poor exhibiting throughout the nation this 12 months. It’s additionally a key win for Democrats, who concurrently picked up a governorship and fended off the rise of one other far-right election denier.

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But this would possibly solely be the start of Lake’s political profession — and that’s a worrying prospect for Democrats who’ve seen how formidable she’s been, whilst a political newcomer.

Lake’s views are excessive, even for Republican-leaning Arizona

Lake’s views on the 2020 election are particularly harmful in a spot like Arizona, the place Biden’s margin was extremely skinny and the place the state legislature, which could stay beneath Republican management, may quickly be empowered by an upcoming US Supreme Court ruling to undermine the outcomes of future elections.

Lake has mentioned she wouldn’t have licensed the 2020 vote for Biden, saying that it was “corrupt, rotten.” She even filed a lawsuit, which has since been dismissed by a federal choose, that made false claims about points with vote-counting machines and sought to require Arizona officers to tabulate 2022 ballots by hand.

Unlike Lake, most Arizonans are assured within the state’s elections: A Center for the Future of Arizona/HighGround Public Affairs ballot launched in October discovered that 70 % of seemingly voters in Arizona believed the state’s elections had been safe and 77 % believed the 2022 outcomes could be correct.

Ahead of Election Day, Lake additionally repeatedly dodged questions about whether or not she would concede the governor’s race if she misplaced, saying that “I’m going to win the election, and I will accept that result,” and that she’d solely settle for a “fair, honest and transparent” end result. During the first, she even preempted her personal win by saying that she would problem the outcomes if she misplaced as a result of it will have indicated “there’s some cheating going on.” And earlier than the race was known as, she steered that Arizona election officers had been deliberately dragging their toes on releasing the outcomes, whereas nonetheless declaring, “I am 100% going to win.”

Lake’s election denialism may have been disastrous within the governor’s workplace: She would have had a job to play within the certification of presidential election outcomes and will have sought to make use of her workplace to delay or undermine the certification if she disagrees with the end result.

Hobbs, however, rose to nationwide prominence after defending the integrity of the 2020 election ends in Arizona in opposition to Trump’s efforts to overturn them, calling a Republican-led audit of the outcomes a method of “chasing conspiracy theories.” She refused to even debate Lake as a result of, as she informed CNN, she “didn’t want to give her a bigger stage” to unfold her lies concerning the 2020 election.

Lake’s views on abortion have additionally put her to the best of many Arizonans.

Lake helps current excessive restrictions on abortion in Arizona. That contains legislation handed earlier this 12 months by Arizona’s GOP-controlled state legislature that banned abortions after 15 weeks of being pregnant with no exceptions for rape or incest. The state additionally has a 121-year-old whole abortion ban on the books, which solely has an exception for when the lifetime of the pregnant particular person is in jeopardy. It went into impact instantly after the Supreme Court’s June determination to overturn Roe v. Wade.

Lake has supported the 15-week ban and the pre-Roe ban, which she has known as “a great law that’s already on the books.” She has additionally known as abortion “the ultimate sin,” mentioned abortion drugs ought to be unlawful, and mentioned she would help banning abortion round six weeks of being pregnant.

Her positions appear to be out of sync with the Arizona citizens: A September OH Predictive insights ballot discovered that 9 in 10 voters agree that abortion ought to be authorized in at the least some circumstances. That appears to be extra in step with Hobbs’s calls to each overturn the pre-Roe ban and the 15-week ban.

The cult of persona round Lake

Lake entered politics after retiring from journalism as a result of she didn’t “like the direction that it’s going,” as she mentioned in a video asserting her resignation from native TV information. Other than protecting native and nationwide races for 22 years as a information anchor in Phoenix, she didn’t have any prior expertise in politics or authorities, which is uncommon for gubernatorial candidates.

Democrats initially appeared to jot down off Lake as a fringe candidate. They even printed a press launch highlighting her main opponent Karrin Taylor Robson’s previous donations to Democrats, which made Lake appear like the true conservative within the race and extra interesting to GOP main voters. As in different components of the nation, Democrats appeared to imagine that the far-right Lake could be simpler to beat within the basic election.

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But Lake had the backing of Trump, whose endorsement appeared to nonetheless carry weight in Republican-leaning Arizona. And she additionally had one thing that different 2022 far-right candidates, resembling Pennsylvania GOP gubernatorial nominee Doug Mastriano, didn’t have: greater than 20 years of expertise on air for a Fox affiliate. That resume made her perpetually camera-ready and adept at talking to voters’ considerations in a manner that many noticed as genuine and even harking back to Trump’s rhetorical type.

“I don’t need a pollster or a consultant from DC or another big city to come into Arizona and tell me what Arizona is about,” Lake informed Politico.

That angle has been mirrored in her marketing campaign technique. Rather than shopping for TV adverts, she had her husband, a former videographer at NBC’s Phoenix affiliate and freelance producer, movie her sparring with reporters throughout interviews and posting the footage on-line, typically with viral outcomes.

Prominent Republicans are starstruck by her. Kenneth L. Khachigian, Ronald Reagan’s former chief speechwriter, waxed poetic within the Wall Street Journal final month: “What makes Ms. Lake’s message different is its simplicity and fearlessness. It’s unapologetic and sincere, not clothed in code words.” Trump reportedly sees one thing of himself in Lake. Even the present term-limited Gov. Doug Ducey, who accused Lake of “misleading voters” when he was backing Taylor Robson throughout the main, has just lately warmed to her.

All the reward from Republicans — and hypothesis that she could be a potential working mate for Trump, although she didn’t win the governorship — has Democrats anxious. Despite her loss, they suppose she has presidential charisma, and her media savvy and temperament may assist Trump mount a troublesome problem to President Joe Biden come 2024.